Saturday, 02 July 2016 09:27

EURO 2016 - Germany v Italy - MATCH PREVIEW

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Two European heavyweights with a lot of continental and global pedigree will light up Euro 2016 in the quarter-finals. Germany and Italy will battle it out for a place in the semis at the Stade Matmut-Atlantique on Saturday, July 2 and this clash promises to be one of the most exciting matches of the tournament.

Germany didn’t play true to their favorites tag or even as World Champions. They struggled to p/ut it past Ukraine and Northern Ireland while a laborious draw against Poland will rank as one of the most boring matches of the tournament. But their ability to find that right gear at the right moment makes Germany one of the most feared teams. The experiment of Mario Gotze as ‘false nine’ seems to have ended and with it the problems of this team. With Mario Gomez lining up as a striker, the Germans look a much more formidable unit than without. Although they still lack the cutting edge in the final third – thanks largely to a strangely subdued tournament for Mesut Ozil and Thomas Muller – Germany can’t be written off early.

Italy have come a full circle in the tournament starting with no expectations to being touted as a champion material. The tactical nous of Antonio Conte coupled with their strong defensive organizational capabilities has put Italy on the fast pedal and gives them an unbeatable look. The well-oiled all-Juventus backline led by the omnipresent Buffon. Their midfield too looks settled but the absence of Thiago Motta and Antonio Candreva from this match for different reasons may hamper them a little. Up front, the form of Graziano Pelle may have surprised everyone including the supporters.

This German team’s weakness in breaking down tight teams is well documented – Poland match being a case in point. Italy will provide a stern test and recent form suggests Germany may struggle to crack them.

Germany v Italy - Betting advice

Germany are unbeaten in five matches while Italy won five of their last six. Germany have kept five success clean sheets while Italy conceded just once in their last six. There could be another low scoring affair on offer here, with under 2.5 goals a worthy bet. Even going for a clean sheet in regular time isn’t a bad option.

Italy have edge in recent meetings with Germany – winning four and losing just one of the last seven. If you are a little aggressive, bet on Italy winning in regular time.

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